All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Richmond Invitational |
Franklin Invitational |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Golden Spike Invitational |
Metro Interscholastic Conf. |
Marion County Championship |
North Central JV Invitational |
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional |
Noblesville Regional |
|---|
| Date | |
8/19 |
8/26 |
9/9 |
9/16 |
9/23 |
9/30 |
10/3 |
10/7 |
10/14 |
| Team Rating |
659 |
552 |
726 |
651 |
653 |
648 |
703 |
|
702 |
684 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
552 |
648 |
651 |
628 |
648 |
703 |
|
702 |
684 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Richmond Invitational |
Franklin Invitational |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Golden Spike Invitational |
Metro Interscholastic Conf. |
Marion County Championship |
North Central JV Invitational |
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional |
Noblesville Regional |
|---|
| 317 |
Jacob Dunagin |
12 |
17:12 |
16:42 |
17:01 |
17:16 |
17:08 |
17:09 |
17:17 |
|
17:47 |
17:06 |
| 583 |
Patrick Loftus |
10 |
17:42 |
17:50 |
|
18:04 |
17:44 |
17:34 |
17:39 |
|
17:35 |
17:48 |
| 602 |
Alex Lukens |
12 |
17:44 |
17:22 |
|
17:32 |
17:36 |
17:43 |
17:54 |
|
17:48 |
17:59 |
| 603 |
Ricky Thornton |
12 |
17:44 |
17:36 |
17:41 |
17:38 |
|
17:50 |
17:49 |
|
17:48 |
17:40 |
| 756 |
Zack DeSimone |
12 |
17:58 |
17:35 |
18:17 |
17:53 |
17:43 |
17:54 |
18:13 |
|
17:53 |
18:12 |
| 893 |
Max Parent |
12 |
18:08 |
17:43 |
18:08 |
|
|
18:02 |
18:16 |
|
18:24 |
18:04 |
| 901 |
Matt Venneman |
9 |
18:09 |
17:44 |
|
17:53 |
18:02 |
17:55 |
18:13 |
|
18:25 |
18:43 |
| 1,040 |
Ben Lupton |
11 |
18:18 |
17:38 |
18:02 |
18:26 |
18:24 |
18:27 |
18:23 |
18:19 |
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
10.0 |
284 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.4 |
98.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
5.0 |
141 |
|
|
|
1.7 |
94.4 |
3.9 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jacob Dunagin |
0.0% |
131.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
0.1% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jacob Dunagin |
10.0% |
70.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10.0% |
10.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jacob Dunagin |
100% |
46.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Patrick Loftus |
100% |
67.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Alex Lukens |
100% |
67.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Ricky Thornton |
100% |
68.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Zack DeSimone |
100% |
75.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
98.9% |
| Max Parent |
100% |
79.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
92.9% |
| Matt Venneman |
100% |
79.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
92.4% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jacob Dunagin |
19.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
2.9 |
6.2 |
9.4 |
14.1 |
16.7 |
16.5 |
14.9 |
7.6 |
3.9 |
1.9 |
| Patrick Loftus |
28.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.7 |
1.9 |
4.4 |
6.3 |
8.0 |
| Alex Lukens |
28.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.2 |
3.1 |
4.9 |
7.7 |
| Ricky Thornton |
28.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
3.6 |
5.4 |
6.3 |
| Zack DeSimone |
34.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
| Max Parent |
37.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
| Matt Venneman |
37.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
